KOL Digest
Les Barclays · 2026.04.02 週四 · Substack

So... will Europe ever build the CMU?

看原始內容 3 個主題 · 0 個標的/題材

CMU progress stalled by political fragmentation and national self-interest

  • CMU was proposed in 2014; over a decade later, minimal progress due to EU member-state footdragging
  • France wants to keep everything in Paris via ESMA; Frankfurt Stock Exchange floats LSE merger which undercuts EU sovereignty goals
  • Euronext-Frankfurt merger is also struggling — ironically similar to the FCAS defence debacle
  • The E6 (Spain, Germany, France, Poland, Italy, Estonia) represent ~60% of EU GDP and plan to proceed; others join later — but financial jobs in Milan, Madrid and Amsterdam could be devastated

EU-Inc proposal: better than nothing, but still disappoints on investor certainty

  • German Series A financing requires €58,954 in notary fees and 5+ hours of documents being read aloud — vs a DocuSign PDF in the UK or US #比較
  • EU-Inc proposal addresses founder-side friction (flexible funding, harmonised ESOP regime, fast digital process) but fails the investor test — 'on paper European, in practice national'
  • Notary requirement finally eliminated in the latest proposal, but the draft still layers 27 national bureaucratic solutions rather than sweeping them away
  • EU law courts are too slow (often years for rulings); EU Inc must update corporate law annually with direct input from founders and investors, as Delaware does #催化劑

What would actually fix European capital markets: unified regulation, not a single exchange

  • A single pan-European exchange achieves nothing by itself; the real fix is a centralised regulator (like the SEC) and unified taxation across member states
  • UCITS proves Europe can harmonise finance, but so long as Paris, Frankfurt and Madrid each want their own tax rate, capital will keep flowing to London and New York
  • To boost European equity financing: reduce listing costs and complexity, eliminate withholding tax disadvantages, and credibly improve Europe's image as a home for capital
  • Risk aversion in European and UK equity markets is cultural, top-down, and harder to fix than any policy lever — culture itself is a policy